Should-win territory for the 2-4 Jets.
The Dolphins are 0-5 and have appeared largely lifeless this season as they head to MetLife Stadium to face the Jets as simply 4.5-point underdogs.
From a betting perspective, it’s difficult to search out an angle on the Dolphins.
Miami is No. 32 in DVOA, whereas the Jets are available at No. 17.
It’s the second time this season that the Dolphins have been underdogs by lower than a landing, the opposite being in Week 5 towards the Bengals, who closed at -6.5.
Miami trailed by double digits for a lot of the recreation earlier than scoring a garbage-time landing to shut the deficit to a landing within the 31-24 setback.
Right here’s the fact: I’m simply not betting actual cash on the Dolphins once they’re getting lower than seven factors towards anybody.
The reason is is I disagree with the Dolphins’ working technique.
Malik Willis has been horrible to date this yr, rating useless final within the league, in accordance with Professional Soccer Focus, amongst 35 certified quarterbacks.
He’s simply not working the ball as a lot as we projected.
Maybe it’s teaching, however the Dolphins’ solely likelihood to remain in video games is to let Willis run the ball 10 occasions a recreation, however they’re reluctant to take action and the workforce is struggling consequently.
Willis hasn’t run the ball greater than 9 occasions this yr.
Betting on the NFL?
Except that adjustments, the Jets will crush the Dolphins.
Goal the Jets -4.5 as they’re No. 16 in Anticipated Factors Added (+.02) whereas the Dolphins are useless final within the league there (-0.23).
PREDICTION: Jets -4.5 (-110, BetMGM)
Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. Through the soccer season he’s showcased huge income at The Submit within the participant prop market the final two seasons. Whereas consistently betting lengthy photographs, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.
