Kirk Cousins‘ stint in Atlanta will likely last one season. According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, there’s an expectation that the Falcons will cut the veteran quarterback before he’s owed his $10M roster bonus in mid-March. Some sources described the impending divorce as “inevitable.”
The Falcons made one of the biggest moves of this past offseason when they inked the free agent QB to a four-year, $180M deal. A month later, the organization shocked the league when they added another quarterback in Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth-overall pick. Cousins was naturally given the first shot to run with the job, but he’s struggled mightily over the past month-plus. Since Week 10, Cousins has tossed only one touchdown vs. nine interceptions, and the team finally announced that they were pivoting to their rookie for Week 16.
By shifting Penix to the top of the depth chart, the Falcons signaled that Cousins probably wouldn’t be on the roster for the 2025 campaign. While cutting the veteran isn’t the team’s only option, it seems like the most likely. As Schefter notes, there’s a belief that the Falcons wouldn’t be able to find a trade suitor for their recent acquisition.
Cousins has a no-trade clause, and assuming he’s not particularly happy with how things have played out in Atlanta, it’s understood that the QB won’t “be doing any favors” for the Falcons by waiving that NTC. Indeed, some sources believe Cousins may have been more willing to work with the Falcons front office on a trade had the organization handled things differently this past offseason (per Schefter). Cousins reportedly had no idea that the Falcons would use the eighth-overall pick on a QB until they called Cousins on draft night, and while the free agent prize has remained professional, his camp clearly wasn’t happy with the team’s draft-night approach.
Cousins will be locked into his fully guaranteed 2025 $27.5M salary regardless of his roster status in Atlanta. So, when he’s eventually released, he can catch on with another squad for the minimum (while making the Falcons pick up most of the tab on his 2025 earnings). We saw a similar scenario play out last offseason with Russell Wilson. Greg Auman of FOX Sports notes that the Falcons could attempt to convert some of his salary into a bonus, making a trade more palatable. Still, that route would require Cousins to work with the Falcons, and even then, it’s uncertain if a suitor would emerge despite a lower hypothetical financial commitment.
The Falcons could also simply keep Cousins on the roster for the 2025 campaign. As a Falcons official noted to Schefter, Penix’s $5.2M salary for the 2025 campaign provides the front office with some flexibility. However, considering how things have developed with the veteran, it seems unlikely that the Falcons would willingly set up a QB competition.
If the Falcons are hoping to avoid that $10M guarantee, Auman believes the organization probably won’t dress Cousins for the stretch run as they look to avoid an injury. So, in all likelihood, Cousins has already made his final appearance with the Falcons organization. As ESPN’s Field Yates notes, the veteran will ultimately earn nearly $90M in cash for just 14 starts. In his comeback from a torn Achilles, Cousins connected on 66.9 percent of his passes for 3,508 yards, 18 touchdowns and a league-leading 16 interceptions.
Despite the worrisome drop in production, Cousins will likely be one of the biggest names on the free agent market for a second-straight offseason. With the likes of Sam Darnold and Wilson currently sitting atop the anticipated QB class, Cousins shouldn’t struggled to find a suitor…especially when you consider that his next squad won’t have to break the bank to sign him to a one-year pact.
